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THE UPCOMING AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: A PREDICTION

Let us focus our attention to the south for a few minutes. This place is dedicated to the following of Canadian federal and provincial politics, but for today, we will be taking a look at the upcoming American presidential election to take place in November of next year. I will be the first to admit that whatever happens in the US usually has a deep impact up here in Canada so I believe that occasionally some attention does need to be paid to just that fact.

Let me get started by saying that American and Canadian politics are very different in a lot of ways: structure, style, format, procedure, etc. The election is not until November of 2008 but right now we have people announcing their candidacy for president. American presidents can only sit a maximum of two terms so therefore Bush cannot be a candidate for president this time around much to my relief. Each of the two parties, the Republicans and the Democrats, have to put forth their nominee to contest the election so what we are seeing right now is the race to become the party nominee for both parties.

On the Republican side we have a few front runners coming out of the woodwork. There are six official candidates at this time, and there are four potential candidates that have started exploratory committees. Of course, there others that are still considering but have yet to do anything official and then there are those who have said that they will not be seeking nomination. The most high profile of those not to seek the Republican nomination are current vice president Dick Cheney; former Governor of Florida and brother of George Bush, Jeb Bush; and current Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. The front runners for the Republican nomination are former mayor of NYC Rudy Giuliani, senator John McCain, and former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney. Giuliani is running first in many polls right now ahead of McCain and Romney.

On the Democratic side we also have many high profile candidates looking to do what John Kerry so miserably tried to do in 2004. There are seven official candidates at this time, one potential candidate with an exploratory committee, and one who has already dropped out of the race. Those people who have ruled out a run at the White House are Senator and 2004 Democratic nominee John Kerry, former Governor of Vermont and candidate for the 2004 Democratic nomination Howard Dean, and former Vice President and 2000 Democratic nominee Al Gore. Although, Al Gore isn't completely out of the race as there is still speculation that he may still make a run for it. Candidates for the Democratic nomination are Senator of New York and former First Lady Hillary Clinton, former senator and 2004 democratic vice president nominee John Edwards, and senator Barack Obama. Polls have been switching between Clinton and Obama as to who the front runner is.

And now to the part you have all been waiting for... my predictions. As many of you know I made my predictions a few months ago but I will put them up here to have them on record so that in a year and a half from now you will realize just how smart I am. Anyway, the Republican nominee will be Rudy Giuliani and the Democratic nominee will be Barack Obama. In November of 2008 the new president of the United States will be former mayor of New York City Rudy Giuliani. I would love to see Obama receive the Democratic nomination and I would be okay if he became president but I see Giuliani as president in 2008.

There will be much more to come from me on the American election as things change and we get closer to the date but I will leave you with this for now.

- DCM

Comments

Anonymous said…
lets hear it for some hillary clinton, d macky

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